Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.034818 0.040830 0.047465 0.055315 0.064334 0.074354 0.086316
2025-03-23 0.026304 0.034247 0.043853 0.056265 0.071807 0.090554 0.114796
2025-03-30 0.020039 0.028662 0.039977 0.055769 0.077072 0.104622 0.142722
2025-04-06 0.015266 0.023807 0.035880 0.053939 0.079963 0.115734 0.168160
2025-04-13 0.012014 0.020285 0.032794 0.052712 0.083143 0.127277 0.195305
2025-04-20 0.010445 0.018912 0.032496 0.055325 0.091995 0.147639 0.237120
2025-04-27 0.009083 0.017558 0.031924 0.057295 0.099953 0.167390 0.280031
2025-05-04 0.007428 0.015337 0.029497 0.055762 0.101942 0.177913 0.309544
2025-05-11 0.006257 0.013742 0.027846 0.055222 0.105369 0.190903 0.344092
2025-05-18 0.005171 0.012074 0.025756 0.053516 0.106426 0.199872 0.372613
2025-05-25 0.004342 0.010754 0.024087 0.052298 0.108112 0.209939 0.403780
2025-06-01 0.003784 0.009899 0.023194 0.052429 0.112266 0.224692 0.444440
2025-06-08 0.003137 0.008715 0.021442 0.050618 0.112551 0.232614 0.473961
2025-06-15 0.002898 0.008467 0.021697 0.053085 0.121739 0.258280 0.539074
2025-06-22 0.002550 0.007863 0.021037 0.053448 0.126598 0.276013 0.590638
2025-06-29 0.002158 0.007045 0.019721 0.052110 0.127630 0.286194 0.628295
2025-07-06 0.001847 0.006372 0.018635 0.051134 0.129309 0.297801 0.669780
2025-07-13 0.001739 0.006279 0.019021 0.053792 0.139535 0.328215 0.752407
2025-07-20 0.001613 0.006095 0.019133 0.055775 0.148405 0.356503 0.832875
2025-07-27 0.001376 0.005492 0.017979 0.054310 0.148856 0.366432 0.875029
2025-08-03 0.001204 0.005060 0.017230 0.053799 0.151562 0.381596 0.929757
2025-08-10 0.001023 0.004543 0.016129 0.052141 0.151164 0.389614 0.969275
2025-08-17 0.000881 0.004126 0.015246 0.050956 0.151824 0.400108 1.015181